Collinson Forex Daily Market Commentary and Market Calendar

Tuesday, May 20, 2025


Daily Market Commentary

The big news overnight was a reset in relations between the UK and the EU. A new agreement was signed ahead of the big G7 meeting starting tomorrow. The news of closer relations between the UK and Europe may shock many, considering the people voted to leave the EU, in a binding referendum. The EUR and the GBP rallied on the news, with the GBP moving back towards 1.3400, while the EUR rose above 1.1250. Bond yields did reflect some caution, with UK Gilts yields jumping, following the news.
 
The weaker reserve allowed the commodity currencies to reverse recent losses, with the AUD looking to regain 0.6450, while the NZD pushed back to 0.5900. The RBNZ inflation report, showed inflationary pressures may be on the rise again, and this was confirmed with a jump in the NZ PPI numbers released. Attention now turns to interest rate decisions from the RBA and PBoC.

Dates & Headline

19/5 NZ Business PSI, NZ PPI, UK House Price Index, China House Price Index, China Industrial Production/Retail Sales, EU CPI

 
20/5 G7 Meeting, PBoC IRD, RBA IRD, German PPI, EU Current Account, Canada CPI

 
21/5 G7 Meeting, NZ Trade Exports/Imports, Japan Trade Exports/Imports, Japan CPI

 
22/5 G7 Meeting, Australia/Japan Services/Manufacturing/Composite PMI, NZ Budget, NZ Credit Card Spending, UK/France/German/EU Services/Manufacturing/Composite PMI, ECB Minutes, Chicago Fed National Activity Index, US Weekly Jobless Claims, US Services/Manufacturing/Composite PMI, EU Consumer Confidence, US Existing Home Sales, Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index


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