Collinson Forex Daily Market Commentary and Market Calendar

Wednesday, May 7, 2025


Daily Market Commentary

US equity markets drifted lower, as did the US Dollar, as analysts await the impending announcements of trade deals with the US. Promises of looming trade deals have led to high expectations and a failure to deliver, could cause instability on global markets. US economic data has been steady and now the other 'ball in the air' is the latest Fed interest rate decision. Trump has called for rate cuts, but Fed Chairman Powell has been steadfast on his independence, leading to low expectations from markets. The US Dollar slipped back, with the EUR trading 1.1350, while the GBP rallied to 1.3370.
 
The market open in Australia was static, greeting the news of a re-elected Labor Government, neutrally. The latest Australian inflation gauge reading was higher than expected, which may deter the RBA from cutting rates, but will probably not. The AUD pushed back up towards 0.6500, while the NZD is looking to regain 0.6000. All eyes are on the global trade wars and the FOMC.

 
Dates & Headline

5/5 Australia Services/Composite PMI, Australian Inflation Gauge, US Services/Composite PMI, ISM Services PMI
 
6/5 NZ Commodity Prices, Australian Building Permits, China Services PMI, UK/France/Germany/EU Services/Composite PMI, EU PPI, US Trade
 
7/5 RBNZ Financial Stability Report, NZ Employment, Australia Manufacturing PMI, Japan Services PMI, German Factory Orders, France Trade Exports/Imports, France Current Account, EU Retail Sales, FOMC IRD, Bank of Japan Minutes
 
8/5 German Trade Exports/Imports, German Industrial Production, UK House Prices, Bank of England IRD, US Weekly Jobless Claims
 
9/5 China Trade Exports/Imports, China CPI/PPI


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