Collinson Forex Daily Market Commentary and Weekly Market Calendar

Monday, March 31, 2025


Daily Market Commentary 

US equity markets crashed on Friday, to close out a week dominated by turbulent trade and tariff warnings. The US announced a further blanket 25% tariff on all Non-US Automakers, which comes into effect the same day as the worldwide 'reciprocal tariffs', April the 2nd. Fears of at least short-term economic disruption, in the USA and around the world, are driving the negative impact on global equities. The fears are that a trade war and tariffs, will extinguish already weak economic growth and drive recently quelled inflation, even higher. The US PCE reversed the downward course that it has been following, jumping to 2.8% per annum. The US Dollar remains volatile, as gold surges to all time record highs, trading above USD$3,100. The EUR pushed back above 1.0800, while the GBP holds 1.2900, still recovering from the dreadful UK Budget.

The volatile nature of the reserve has also impacted the commodity currencies, with the AUD trading below 0.6300, while the NZD struggles to hold above 0.5700. Australian equity markets were one of the few Western bourse to trade in the black, welcoming the news of a Federal Election, called for May 3rd. Markets await 'D-Day' April 2nd, when all of the US tariffs come into effect.


Weekly Market Calendar

31/3 Japan Industrial Production, NZ Business Confidence, China Manufacturing/Non-Manufacturing PMI, German Retail Sales, German CPI, Chicago PMI, Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index
 
1/4 Australia/Japan Manufacturing PMI, Tankan Report, Australia Retail Sales, RBA IRD, UK/German/France/EU Manufacturing PMI, EU CPI, EU Employment, US/Canada Manufacturing PMI, Jolts Jobs Report
 
2/4 NZ Building Permits, Australia Manufacturing, Australia Inflation Gauge, Australia Building Permits, France Budget, US Weekly Mortgage Applications, US Factory Orders
 
3/3 Australia/Japan Services/Composite PMI, Australia Trade Exports/Imports, UK/German/France/EU Services/Composite PMI, EU PPI, Challenger Jobs Report, US Weekly Jobless Claims, US Services/Composite PMI
 
4/4 German Factory Orders, Canada Employment, US Non-Farm Payrolls, US Employment

Paul Bettany   I   Collinson Forex Limited    Collinson & Co.  

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