Collinsonfx Weekly Marketing Commentary and Calendar

Monday, September 20, 2021


Weekly Market Commentary

US Equity markets sold off again Friday, amidst concerns over further disruptions from the virus and political/economic reactions to the ongoing pandemic. The unprecedented monetary and fiscal stimulus is being funded by deficit and debt, driving monetary expansion and inflation. Inflation is the only handbrake to Modern Monetary Theory. It is alive and flourishing across Europe and the USA. Attention will turn to Central Banks in the coming week, as it is their monetary policy that has provoked this situation. The FOMC meet this coming week, along with the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan. Weak GDP growth and labour markets are used to justify the monetary largesse, with inflation being labelled as 'transitory'.
 
UK Retail Sales missed expectations Friday, which follows the big spike in inflation, now demanding the Bank of England acts to combat the inflationary pressures. The B of E are likely to lead in this action of 'tapering' and even indicating a rise in interest rates? The Fed is unlikely to act and continue to falsely label inflation as transitory. The USD rebounded to close the week, with the AUD falling to 0.7270, while the NZD crashed to 0.7030.
 

Weekly Market Calendar

20/9 NZ Services PMI, German PPI
 
21/9 NAHB House Market Index, NZ Consumer Confidence, RBA Minutes, US Building Permits/Housing Starts
 
22/9 NZ Global Dairy Prices, Bank of Japan Rate Decision, US Weekly Mortgage Applications
 
23/9 EU Consumer Confidence, US Existing Home Sales, FOMC Rate Decision, Australia Services/Manufacturing/Composite PMI, UK/France/Germany/EU Services/Manufacturing/Composite PMI, Bank of England Rate Decision, Chicago Fed National Activity Index, US Weekly Jobless Claims, US Services/Manufacturing/Composite PMI
 
24/9 Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index, NZ Trade Exports/Imports, Japan Consumer Confidence, Japan CPI, Japan Services/Manufacturing/Composite PMI, German IFO Business Climate, US New Home Sales