Collinsonfx Weekly Marketing Commentary and Calendar

Monday, June 21, 2021


    Weekly Market Commentary

European markets suffered the fall-out from the Fed monetary policy announcement and equities crashed to close out an extremely negative week. The Fed's hawkish stance, including bringing forward future rate rises and cutting QE, has triggered some obvious realities. UK Retail Sales contracted 1.4% overnight, while German PPI more than doubled expectations, as economic reality and the costs of fiscal and monetary policies over the last eighteen months finally hit home. The EUR collapsed to trade 1.1875, while the GBP continues a free-fall, plunging to 1.3815.
 
The Feds sudden 'come to Jesus moment' has rang alarm bells. Commodity prices are falling, in the face of the soaring US Dollar, while China unloads commodity reserves to further ease pricing pressures. The Bank of Japan did not follow the Federal Reserve, instead assuring markets QE Infinity would continue, along with their negative interest rate policy. Japan released CPI data, showing the lack of growth and inflation in the economy.
 
Commodity currencies suffered severely, with the AUD now crashing below 0.7500, while the NZD tumbled to 0.6930. The reality of inflation has dawned on Central Banks and the scale of the problem should not be underestimated.

Weekly Market Calendar

21/6 Australian Retail Sales, German Bundesbank Report, Chicago Fed National Activity Index
 
22/6 NZ Consumer Confidence, NZ Credit Card Spending
 
23/6 EU Consumer Confidence, US Existing Home Sales, Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, Australia Manufacturing/Services/Composite flash PMI, Bank of Japan Minutes, Japan Manufacturing/Services/Composite flash PMI, US Weekly Mortgage Applications, UK/German/France/EU Manufacturing/Services/Composite flash PMI, US Weekly Mortgage Applications, US Current Account, US Manufacturing/Services/Composite flash PMI
 
24/6 US New Home Sales, ECB Meeting, EU Meeting, German IFO Business Climate, Bank of England Rate Decision, US Durable Goods Orders, US GDP, US Weekly Jobless Claims
 
25/6 Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index, NZ Trade Exports/Imports, UK Consumer Confidence, German Consumer Confidence, EU Meeting, University of Michigan Economic Sentiment